![]() ![]() Note: CNN has removed personal information from the texts. There are also numerous texts from reporters at news organizations such as The New York Times, Politico, Bloomberg, CBS, ABC, NBC, Fox News and CNN. The texts include messages from former White House officials, Meadows associates and Republican members of Congress, as well as Trump’s oldest son. Here’s a minute-by-minute timeline of the notable text messages that Meadows sent and received on January 5 and January 6, which have been verified by CNN. Meadows’ texts, which he selectively provided to the panel, show that even those closest to former President Donald Trump believed he had the power to stop the violence in real time. Thomson-DeVeaux: This sounds like a bleak outlook for Pence.CNN has obtained 2,319 text messages that former White House chief of staff Mark Meadows handed over to the January 6 committee that were sent and received between Election Day 2020 and President Joe Biden’s inauguration, including more than 150 on January 6. So while Pence is well-known and not necessarily disliked by Republicans, his ratings among them are a far cry from those of Trump or DeSantis, who enjoy favorability ratings of 70 percent or better. Problematically, Pence finds himself in the minority among Republicans when it comes to views about the election’s outcome: In March, more than 60 percent of Republicans told an SSRS/CNN poll that Biden had not legitimately won the votes to become president, in line with what most surveys have found since the 2020 contest.Īs of June 1, Pence’s favorability rating among Republicans was in the low 50s, while his unfavorables were in the low- to mid-30s. You know, it hasn’t helped Pence that Trump has continued to blame him for his 2020 defeat, even as Pence has argued that Trump was “wrong” about Pence’s ability to overturn the 2020 result. Skelley: So Pence’s difficulties largely stem from the unusual prospect of running against Trump and Pence’s reduced political standing among Republicans since he refused to aid Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election. ![]() ![]() Thomson-DeVeaux: Why is Pence in such a weak position compared with other vice presidents who ran for the White House, except for Dan Quayle, I guess? Bush, Al Gore and Biden all led their respective primary fields five or so months into the year before the primary, and all went on to become their party’s nominee. Most other vice presidents have been more competitive at this early point, if not clearly ahead: Walter Mondale, George H.W. Ron DeSantis, who is at around 20 percent.Īmong modern vice presidents, only Dan Quayle’s failed 2000 campaign was in Pence’s territory, and Quayle ended up dropping out in September of 1999. In FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average, Pence is sitting at around 5 percent, far behind Trump, who is at nearly 55 percent, and Florida Gov. We obviously have a very recent example in President Biden.īut the fact is, Pence enters the 2024 race in arguably a weaker position than any modern vice president who has sought the presidency. Of those, six won the nomination at some point and three became president. Since World War II, eight vice presidents prior to Pence have sought their party’s nomination. Geoffrey Skelley: Yeah, so traditionally, the vice presidency has been a really good pathway to becoming president, or at the very least your party’s presidential nominee. OK Geoffrey, as a former vice president, what do we make of Pence’s candidacy in the 2024 race? I spoke to FiveThirtyEight senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley to find out more about Pence and whether or not he actually has a shot at winning the GOP nomination. He served under former President Donald Trump from 2017 to 2021, but now he faces the prospect of running against his old boss in the 2024 Republican primary. Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux: Former Vice President Mike Pence just announced that he’s running for president. ![]()
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